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America's
Place in the World To
the World Affairs Council
Today America faces four great international challenges: The War on
Terror, the situation in Iraq, the Israel-Palestinian dispute, and
the crisis in North Korea. These four present challenges to our nation
greater than any our nation has faced in decades.
The security situation in Afghanistan is improving. We have 7,500 troops on the ground and our allies, 5,000; they are providing security until the new government of Afghanistan is able to train military and police.
And, as a final action in the last Congress, a new Department of Homeland
Security has been created to better coordinate efforts to safeguard
the American people from terrorist attacks.
On the negative side, however:
Bottom line, if we are to be successful in the War on Terror, it is
critical that Osama bin Laden, Mullah Omar, and other senior Taliban
and Al Qaeda operatives be brought to justice.
So, we must stay the course in Afghanistan. And wherever the War on
Terror takes us: We must not allow ourselves to get distracted or
take our eye off the ball.
We must ensure that the Afghan economy and infrastructure are rebuilt.
We must protect this fledgling democracy so it can survive and the
Afghan people can flourish. Just last week, Paul Wolfowitz, Deputy Secretary of Defense, said from Kabul, that "stability and security" must be the goal. I agree.
Internationally, we must relentlessly pursue those who would use terror
to destroy us. That must be our mission and it must be sustained until
the job is finished.
But
he provided no evidence to back up this accusation either publically
to the American people or privately - on a classified basis - to the
Senate. He was, I believe, laying the ground work for a unilateral
and pre-emptive attack on Iraq.
Then, however, in a welcome shift of position, the President went
to the United Nations on September 12 and strongly urged the Security
Council to compel Iraqi compliance with the 16 resolutions Iraq has
defied over the past 11 years.
The President has repeatedly stated that the United States will lead
"a coalition of the willing" to compel Iraq's compliance. In September,
it appeared that the President had turned away from a unilateral course
of action to a multilateral one. That was good and welcome news.
On October 10, I voted for a Senate Resolution that would have required
the President to return to the Security Council for a vote before
launching a military strike against Iraq. That Resolution was defeated.
Subsequently, and based on the President's support for acting in concert
with the UN Security Council, I joined 76 of my colleagues and voted
to support a resolution authorizing the President to use of force
to compel compliance if necessary.
Since November 24, the UN inspection teams have inspected Iraqi facilities
that produce chemicals and pharmaceuticals, Saddam's palace compounds,
health care centers, water plants, and numerous other facilities where
old records, prior inspections, or intelligence indicate chemical,
biological or nuclear weapons or missiles might either be made or
secreted. The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) is also in the process of doubling the number of inspectors.
On December 7, Iraq gave the United Nations a 12,000-page account
of its chemical, biological, nuclear, and missile programs.
And on December 28, Iraq provided the UN inspectors with the list
of Iraqis participating in its weapons programs. January 27 is a key date. On that day, the findings of the IAEA inspectors will be detailed, and any discrepancies between what they have found thus far and Iraq's earlier declaration should be revealed.
Inspections to date have produced no evidence sufficient to clearly
establish continuing culpability in the production of weapons of mass
destruction.
However, Iraq is not yet cooperating fully with the UN inspectors
as the Security Council demanded. Saddam may well be up to his old
tricks - moving weapons or other incriminating evidence from place
to place. The history is a sordid one.
If there is clear evidence that Iraq is continuing an illegal program
to produce weapons of mass destruction; or has submitted inaccurate
or false information regarding its nuclear and biological programs;
or has secret programs, facilities, or stockpiles; then the Administration
should make it public.
And, if there is hard evidence of weapons of mass destruction, then
the Security Council must take immediate action to compel compliance,
including using force, if necessary. And I would support such action.
But the massive increase of U.S. troops in the Persian Gulf appears
to be an indication that regardless of the findings of the UN inspectors
the President may well intend to use military force to bring about
regime change in Iraq. This is deeply disturbing.
I strongly believe that the arms inspectors must be allowed to complete
their task, to report back to the UN Security Council and the Security
Council must then consider action.
In the meantime, Iraq is effectively contained and prevented from
developing Weapons of Mass Destruction. It is not an imminent threat
to its neighbors or the United States. And there is no need for precipitous
action under these circumstances.
A preemptive unilateral attack against a Muslim nation may well create
a divide between the US and the Muslim world so deep and wide that
it will bring with it negative consequences for decades.
There are efforts being made behind the scenes by Arab nations to
achieve a peaceful regime change. These efforts should be given the
opportunity to succeed. What's the rush to bring the tragedy of war?
If Iraq can be successfully contained and disarmed and war can be
avoided -- if the deaths of innocent people can be prevented - then
that must be our course. War must be a last resort. The
Israeli-Palestinian Conflict Let
me make a few comments about one additional issue before discussing
North Korea: A solution must be found to the Israeli-Palestinian crisis
- and soon.
Unfortunately, it has not been, in my view, a high enough priority
for the Administration. As long as the Israeli-Palestinian crisis
escalates, the risks of catastrophe remain unabated. Yet, one of the
few things that most Israelis and most Palestinians agree on is that
the United States is a unique third party capable of advancing the
peace process. Peace
between Israel and the Palestinians is clearly in the U.S. national
interest and would produce broader benefits as well:
Right after the January 28th Israeli election, I believe
President Bush should name a very senior and experienced person to
be his personal emissary dealing with the Israeli-Palestinian crisis.
The Israeli-Palestinian problem demands more creative and higher-level
attention by the United States. It must be solved. Time is running
out. Korea
Now, with regard to North Korea I believe the situation is more menacing
than that in Iraq. It presents a substantial and real danger to stability
throughout the Asia-Pacific region and could ultimately directly threaten
the United States.
North Korea possesses a much more advanced nuclear weapons program
than Iraq, and it has been assessed that North Korea may already possess
nuclear capability.
North Korea also has a missile delivery system, and once the third
stage of the Taepo Dong missile is completed and operational, North
Korea could strike any place in the United States.
Also, North Korea has:
The country and leadership are isolated, the economy is a failure
and even the most basic necessities of life such as electricity, sanitation,
and food are lacking. People are now starving by the thousands.
I had the opportunity in December to helicopter to the Demilitarized
Zone (DMZ), where General LaPorte, our 4-Star General in command,
pointed out North Korean troop concentrations: 70% of the 1.2 million
man North Korean army is deployed along the DMZ, with enough heavy
artillery to be able to substantially damage Seoul, killing millions.
And there are reports that nerve agents may also be deployed along
the DMZ.
Since my visit in December, the 800,000 forward- deployed North Korean
troops have been placed on high alert and are prepared to move instantly. North Korea, isolated with its failing economy, has clearly placed its total focus, not on feeding its people, but in developing its military, its missiles and its nuclear capability - all in defiance of treaties it has signed.
I believe the blame for precipitating this crisis lies squarely with
North Korea, which clearly violated the Agreed Framework by beginning
the surreptitious development of nuclear capacity.
But it also appears clear to me that the Administration's handling
of events on the Korean Peninsula over the past two years, as well
as its broader foreign policy rhetoric and statements have served,
ironically, to fuel North Korea's paranoia and made the situation
much more difficult to manage. First, the Administration failed to endorse President Kim Dae Jung's "Sunshine Policy" when President Kim visited the White House in March 2001. This move was perceived as a major humiliation in South Korea, helped set the stage for the rising tide of anti-Americanism, and was seen as a sign by the North that the Administration was intent on a policy of isolation and confrontation. Second, in January of 2002, the Administration issued its Nuclear Posture Review, which states that there are certain situations in which the United States would contemplate and perhaps engage in a first use of nuclear weapons. One of the scenarios in this Review included North Korea. Third, in September 2002 the Administration issued its National Security Strategy, which states that the United States reserves the right to strike preemptively, even without an imminent threat, if the Administration believes another nation poses a threat to the United States.
And fourth, including North Korea as part of the "axis of evil" in
the 2002 State of the Union address, along with statements by the
President saying that he loathed Kim Jong Il, calling him names, and
saying that he deliberately starved his own people, all helped fuel
North Korea's paranoia and belligerence.
Meanwhile, one other troubling aspect of the Korean crisis is the
growing anti-American sentiment in South Korea.
The new President, Roh Moo Hyun, won the election in an atmosphere
of anti-Americanism. And in some quarters, our 37,500 troops stationed
there are increasingly unwelcome.
The anti-American sentiment has been galvanized by the accidental
deaths of two young Korean girls, run down by a large tank-like tracked
vehicle on a narrow road while the girls were walking to a birthday
party. A major outcry arose after the two servicemen driving the vehicle
were acquitted in U.S. military court on charges of negligent homicide.
The situation on the Korean Peninsula offers no easy solution.
So I am pleased to see that after so many weeks of refusing to negotiate
directly, the Administration has now opened the door to high level
discussions. This is a welcome and imperative change. It is the only
acceptable course. And its result may well determine the effectiveness
of diplomatic efforts in this crisis.
There must be direct and multilateral discussions between North and
South Korea, Japan, China, and Russia as well as the United States.
The solution is everyone's business and the responsibility of the
leaders of all nations. Conclusion
Much of what the Administration has done since September 11th
to safeguard U.S. security interests has been necessary and right.
I have supported these efforts.
I believe that the Administration has been correct in identifying
the threat of the proliferation of Weapons of Mass Destruction, especially
if they fall into the hands of terrorists, as one of the top challenges
facing U.S. foreign policy. But in Iraq and North Korea, the Administration has been pursuing two very different, and at times contradictory, approaches, which, in the process, has confused and angered many of our closest friends and allies. With
Iraq, the Administration is beating the drums of war. With North Korea.
it is pursuing multilateral diplomacy and a peaceful resolution of
the crisis. But
these two crises are similar in many respects, and thus the question
remains: can diplomacy be an effective tool in this new century to
stay the ambitions of those states which seek nuclear weapons? Or
is the use of force our only recourse?
I believe that the Administration's current policy towards North Korea
is more likely to produce a peaceful and acceptable outcome than its
policy towards Iraq.
If you look at the different approaches to each of these problems,
alongside the Administration's broader foreign policy statements and
rhetoric, it is no wonder why serious questions about America's role
in the world have been raised both here and abroad.
The Administration's emphasis on unilateral action; its dismissal
of international law, treaties, and institutions; and its dominant
focus on military power as put forward in the Doctrine of Preemption
(the rationale for unilateral preemptive attack), the National Security
Strategy (which aims to make the United States the preponderant and
unchallengeable military power in the world), and the Nuclear Posture
Review (which states scenarios in which the United States would engage
in a first use of nuclear weapons, even against the non-nuclear states),
are particularly troubling. Taken at face value, these positions mean the United States holds for itself the right to strike another sovereign nation - to wage war, if you will - even in the absence of an immediate threat, but based solely on the perception of a sufficient threat.
Despite Administration efforts to downplay the actual wording in these
documents, they are, in my view, unnecessarily provocative and dangerous.
I believe now, more than ever, that Teddy Roosevelt had it right,
"walk softly and carry a big stick."
As a presidential candidate in 2000, George W. Bush spoke eloquently
about the need for America to conduct itself with humility in international
affairs. I remember him saying during the 2nd Presidential
debate on October 11, 2000: "If
we're an arrogant nation, they'll resent us; if we're a humble nation,
but strong, they'll welcome us. And our nation stands alone right
now in the world in terms of power, and that's why we've got to be
humble, and yet project strength in a way that promotes freedom."
Yet, one of the things I have found in the trips I have made abroad
in the past year is that our allies across the globe increasingly
believe that the United States is anything but humble. They feel the United States does not listen to its allies, has shown disregard for treaties and international organizations, and has become increasingly unilateral.
As a result, we have lost much of the good will that followed the
9/11 attacks.
The preeminent position America occupies in the world today rests
only in part on our military and economic strength. In large part, it is also due to our moral influence and our unquenchable quest for truth, justice, and freedom - our belief that "all (people) are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain inalienable Rights, that among these are life, liberty and the pursuit of Happiness."
And regardless of whether one views Iraq or North Korea as the bigger
threat, one thing they both have in common is that the United States
is much more likely to be successful in dealing with them and safeguarding
our own national security interests if we are able to act in concert
with our friends and allies.
So we stand today at an important decision point in the history of
our nation and the world: Will the United States turn away from the
successful bipartisan tradition of supporting a world ordered by law,
and pursue instead a unilateralist path?
Or will we recommit our nation to the achievement of workable democratic
structures, to law and diplomacy, and to constructive leadership that
produces coalitions to bring about just solutions? There may be times, when all else fails, that unilateral American military action will be necessary - and Iraq may be a case in point. However, in my view, that has not been established. War must only be a last resort.
But the spirit of our foreign policy should not be the establishment
of American hegemony, any more than we would want to see the establishment
of Al Qaeda's vision of a new radical fundamentalist Islamic world. More importantly, I strongly believe that a foreign policy oriented towards cooperation and consultation will, in the long run, prove to be a more effective guarantor of U.S. national security than one of unilateralist impulse and confrontation. |